Bologna's disappointing start in the Champions League leaves the Italian side heading into the fifth round as the only team yet to score. In contrast, Lille have exceeded expectations: the French team claimed victories over Real Madrid (1:0) and Atlético Madrid (3:1) and managed a challenging draw against Juventus (1:1).
Despite an upturn in results in Serie A, Bologna display positive dynamics only in less demanding fixtures. Over the weekend against Lazio (0:3), they were left helpless after Tommaso Pobega's dismissal in the 35th minute, generating just 0.07 xG while conceding 2.00 xGA. It's likely that the Italian side will again struggle to create danger in the Champions League: without injured players Michel Aebischer, Nicolò Cambiaghi, and Dan Ndoye, their attacking threat looks diminished.
Lille's September slump is a distant memory, fading in light of their current form, unbeaten in the last 11 matches. At home against Juventus (1:1), the partnership between Jonathan David and Edon Zhegrova proved effective once again, making the most of 0.77 xG and restricting the Turin side to just three shots on target. It appears that Bruno Génésio's system is working well despite multiple injuries — the French side have adapted to challenging conditions.
We’re taking a double chance for Lille. The French team are on the brink of reaching the top eight, whereas their opponents appear to be in crisis.
